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2024-12-14 04:56:05

Peter Orsag, CEO of Lazard Financial Consultant: Geopolitical concerns are bringing more downside risks.The central government has decided to adjust the fiscal policy for next year: increase the deficit, special national debt and special debt quota. According to CCTV news broadcast, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. When deploying the fiscal policy for next year, the meeting said that it is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and firmly grasp the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. According to the above-mentioned meeting arrangements, in 2025, deficit ratio will exceed 3%, ultra-long-term special national debt will exceed 1 trillion yuan, and the amount of new special debt will also exceed 3.9 trillion yuan. This means that fiscal policy will be more active next year. This is also in line with market expectations. A number of interviewed finance and taxation experts predict that deficit ratio may be 3.5%~4% next year, the ultra-long-term special national debt is expected to be 1.5 trillion yuan to 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of special debt is expected to be around 4.5 trillion yuan. Of course, this is only an expert's prediction or suggestion, and the final actual relevant data still needs to be announced during the National People's Congress in March next year. (CBN)Ge Vernova Inc.(GEV) has signed several contracts to sell natural gas turbines to 5 GW data center.


Iranian President expressed his willingness to expand cooperation with Turkey in various fields. Iranian President Pezexizhiyan said on the 11th that Iran is willing to expand cooperation with Turkey in various fields. According to the statement issued by the Iranian Presidential Palace, when meeting with visiting Turkish Trade Minister Borat in Tehran on the same day, Pezehiqiyan said that Iran will continue to firmly cooperate with Turkey and is willing to expand relations and cooperation with Turkey in various fields. He also stressed the necessity of implementing the bilateral agreements signed before.Governor of the Swiss National Bank: If necessary, the negative interest rate policy will be used again. schlegel, governor of the Swiss National Bank, said that the Swiss National Bank does not like negative interest rates, but negative interest rates are indeed effective; Negative interest rate policy will be used again if necessary; The SNB can decide policies between quarterly meetings. The Swiss national bank is concerned about the situation of the franc as a whole, not just the euro.Public offerings frequently employ conservative products of fund managers to seek attack. Driven by the positive sentiment in the stock market, many fund companies have recently strengthened the "share" of products and the layout of specific tracks by hiring more aggressive fund managers. The reporter noted that in the announcements of hiring fund managers by many fund companies, the importance of product "stock" and high flexibility track was highlighted. For example, some conservative funds hire fund managers who like high positions, some funds who buy dividend resources stocks hire internet fund managers, and some funds hope to strengthen the layout of hard technology and hire semiconductor fund managers. The insiders believe that Public Offering of Fund's offensive features in hiring more fund managers are related to his judgment on the positive rebound in the stock market. Many fund companies stressed that even if the market outlook index is average, structural opportunities will be highlighted and the profit-making effect will not decrease, which may be a market feature for a long time to come. (Securities Times)


Fitch Ratings: US state and local governments are expected to return to normal in 2025.FBI Director: He will resign before Trump takes office. FBI Director Christopher Babers announced at a town hall meeting with FBI employees on the 11th that he will resign before Trump takes office. It is reported that Trump appointed Christopher Babers as the director of the FBI in 2017 for a term of 10 years, but since then, Rein's FBI's handling of Trump's investigation has been criticized by Trump and his congressional allies. Trump said that he intends to remove the mine and nominate Cash Patel as the director of the FBI.Microsoft expects to accrue about $800 million in impairment charges related to GM Cruise in the second fiscal quarter, and Microsoft expects to accrue about $800 million in impairment charges in the second fiscal quarter, which is related to the company's minority equity investment in GM Cruise. This will have a negative impact of about 9 cents on Microsoft's earnings per share in the second quarter.

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